正文

国际油价跌破地板价 国内油价将迎年内第五次下调

11月5日24时,国内油价迎来新调价窗口。记者从多家机构了解到,近期以来,国际油价整体处于下行通道,目前已跌破40美元/桶的地板价。因此,国内油价将迎来下调。

本计价周期以来,欧美新冠病毒感染病例数再度反弹影响原油需求,同时利比亚计划4周内将原油产量提高至100万桶/日增加了供应端压力,导致国际油价承压走跌,WTI和布伦特原油期货相继跌破40美元/桶。

卓创资讯分析师孟鹏表示,虽然周期末受到欧佩克(OPEC)及其减产同盟国或延期实行放松产量限制政策的影响,国际油价出现连续反弹,但由于原油变化率仍深处负值,故11月5日24时,国内成品油零售限价下调已是不可逆转。同时,由于原油均价已低于40美元/桶的地板价,因此本次成品油零售限价下调仅调整地板价以上部分。

卓创资讯监测显示,截至11月3日收盘,本周期第9个工作日的原油变化率收于-4.23%,对应地板价以上部分或下调165元/吨。

“折合升价,92号汽油下调0.13元/升,0号柴油下调0.14元/升。本轮调价后,2020年成品油零售限价调整窗口将增加至21次,其中包含4次上调,5次下调,6次搁浅以及6次不作调整。”孟鹏说。

展望后市,金联创分析师邹雪莲认为难以确定油价未来走势。“美国大选期间,原油市场对此关注度颇高,无论谁当选,美国都势必会采取种种措施恢复经济,这对油价将形成利好支撑。不过,欧美新冠疫情形势严峻,部分国家再度封锁,这将会阻碍石油需求的复苏,油价仍将承压。多重因素影响市场,国际油价未来走势的变数较大。”

编辑:soul

责任编辑:崔翠 许小仙

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